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2024-12-14 04:40:48

CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. The reporter learned on the 12th local time that South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. (CCTV News)


Yin Xiyue stayed in the office for 30 minutes and then returned to her residence. (Yonhap News Agency)The tenth batch of national procurement officially opened, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. The tenth batch of centralized drug procurement organized by the state officially accepted the application materials of enterprises at 8: 00 this morning at No.398 Zhanyuan Road, Nanqiao New Town, Fengxian District, Shanghai. This centralized procurement involved 62 varieties and 263 product specifications, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. Among them, 33 enterprises competed for nine short-listed oral sustained-release formulations of sitagliptin. There are also a number of varieties that are billions in the market of public hospitals, such as doxorubicin hydrochloride liposome injection, cefoperazone injection, piperacillin injection, compound α -ketoacid oral sustained-release dosage form, norepinephrine injection and aspirin oral sustained-release dosage form. The sales scale in sample hospitals last year all exceeded 2 billion yuan. Hengrui Pharma, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Unacon and Zhengda Tianqing participated with many varieties. Note: According to the tenth batch of national adoption documents released before, the tenth batch of national adoption rules have changed a lot, such as canceling the protection mechanism of 50% price reduction and increasing the fuse recovery mechanism by 1.8 times, and the number of B-certified enterprises affects the number of final finalists.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.


China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)

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